BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System | FAQ | The Numbers | Last Updated: 02:00 on Monday, January 15, 2024

Mississippi State 2023 Season Summary

National Average Data

Category 2022 Raw 2023 Raw 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 27.17 26.70 26.70 (+0.00)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 386.24 379.93 379.93 (+0.00)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.64 5.70 5.70 (+0.00)

Mississippi State 2023 - Unit Statistics

Offense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 30.55 37.15 (+6.61) 19.45 21.16 (+1.70) 21.16 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 390.91 430.31 (+39.41) 306.36 315.11 (+8.75) 315.11 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 5.39 5.98 (+0.59) 4.95 5.16 (+0.21) 5.16 (+0.00)

Defense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 25.73 19.18 (-6.54) 28.36 22.42 (-5.95) 22.42 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 368.09 304.42 (-63.67) 353.55 324.51 (-29.04) 324.51 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 5.41 4.54 (-0.87) 5.43 4.81 (-0.62) 4.81 (+0.00)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +2.9

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2023-09-02 Southeastern Louisiana Non-FBS Opponent W 48-7 1-0
2023-09-09 Arizona 17.05 33.51 +16.46 50.56 23.60% W 31-24 2-0
2023-09-16 LSU 23.91 47.20 +23.29 71.11 12.64% L 14-41 2-1
2023-09-23 @South Carolina 16.28 26.37 +10.09 42.66 33.82% L 30-37 2-2
2023-10-01 Alabama 10.93 32.15 +21.22 43.09 15.96% L 17-40 2-3
2023-10-07 Western Michigan 38.72 18.10 -20.63 56.82 83.08% W 41-28 3-3
2023-10-21 @Arkansas 20.90 24.08 +3.19 44.98 44.89% W 7-3 4-3
2023-10-28 @Auburn 12.17 25.71 +13.54 37.88 28.29% L 13-27 4-4
2023-11-04 Kentucky 21.88 28.52 +6.64 50.40 39.34% L 3-24 4-5
2023-11-12 @Texas A&M 13.93 34.28 +20.35 48.21 17.36% L 10-51 4-6
2023-11-18 Southern Mississippi 36.72 16.36 -20.36 53.08 82.66% W 41-20 5-6
2023-11-24 Ole Miss 17.80 30.31 +12.51 48.11 29.94% L 7-17 5-7

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
5-7 100.00% 0.00% 100.00%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
0-12 0.00%
1-11 0.16%
2-10 2.06%
3-9 9.60%
4-8 22.01%
5-7 28.16%
6-6 22.10%
7-5 11.07%
8-4 3.91%
9-3 0.80%
10-2 0.13%
11-1 0.01%